killacross wrote: ↑
Wed May 04, 2022 8:06 am
This gives them time to make campaign ads and start social media campaigns. It also energizes the base and united them on an issue -- while the other side will relax and think "They are doing God's work". It also allows news networks time to run this story on repeat -- while ignoring things like inflation, student loan forgiveness, Russia/Ukraine and sending billions and billions that way...Funny. I think it helps D's A LOT more than R's.
This only shaved a couple of months off. Data has repeatedly shown that "anger bumps" don't last very long at all. If this waited until it originally came out, a few months from now, I'd still argue that it would likely wear off by the election. Either way it's unfortunate timing for R's, because they may not completely slaughter D's now (just mostly slaughter them). Given how many people still think the election was stolen they could probably convince those people that D's will just reverse it if they won the election, in which case they'll just energize that base anyways.
It doesn't even take a day to get the campaigns and ads ready. I'm sure D's have been preparing them since the start of this case anyways. Running it on repeat is exactly what the problem will be. It's just like people's response to Trump - he was on the news so much for doing so much stupid shit that it eventually became "the news is biased against him" and "it's just another thing." All this does it give it a few extra months to get old, so when election time comes around it'll already be stale and "whatever."
Inflation is a global thing. Thanks COVID. We also have a private entity that is supposed to be dedicated to countering inflation that's held rates at 0% for WAY too long and is only now doing something. I don't buy into the student loan forgiveness for the sake of loan forgiveness, but we've let student loans become such a bubble that we'd have to do SOMETHING about it before it burst. Forgiveness isn't the way I'd do it, but it's the only thing anyone's done so far (and they're not even doing it for that reason). This also puts more money into the economy which would help against any recession fears the Fed might cause, but it won't help with inflation (I don't think it would have any real impact whatsoever actually, but I don't know anywhere close to enough to claim it won't hurt it). I don't think it'll hurt us as a country overall, but gets a big "OK whatever" from me.
Cane_The9lives wrote: ↑
Wed May 04, 2022 10:22 pm
It wasn't that long ago i was hearing calls for abolishing the Supreme court after they refused to even hear a case about the 2020 election results.
The Dems are far more brazen about it, but make no mistake this is a symptom of a much broader problem.
And it's why I'm Libertarian.
The widespread implications of this breach of decorum(there's an ongoing debate on the subject of whether this this leak is even technically illegal; I say it is but nevertheless...) will reverberate throughout the body politic for years. This was a betrayal no question, but it doesn't do much to worsen the already palpable perception that the Supreme Court is simply a hub of split partisan power, in which both parties jockey for position after a retirement/death to install their preferred candidate to enact their legal preferences. To assume neither party wants this just because one (The republicans) are far more cunning in disguising their intentions, is folly.
Anyone who thinks this is the final death nail of trust for SCOTUS hasn't been paying attention, its simply one of the most egregious final straws in modern American History.
I used to claim Libertarian, but the more it moved laissez-faire the further away I walked. COVID nonsense from leaders put the last nail in the coffin in me having the slightest bit of association. Capitalism has been great for us, but there are always extreme losers in a capitalistic society, and we have to have supports for them.
My understanding is that the leak not illegal at all on its own, but if prosecutors wanted to get really creative they could probably find something to charge whoever leaked it with (unless it was Alito himself because he didn't like the idea of having to water it down, for the latest conspiracy theory).
SCOTUS has actually been pretty much fine (I recommend following SCOTUSblog.com). These major decisions represent a fraction of the cases they hear, and most decisions are unanimous. Taking the stats from that site, in OT2020 there were 67 cases. Only 8 were 5-4 and another 16 5-3 or 6-3. 39 cases had 0 or 1 dissenter (29 unanimous) and 4 cases had 2 dissenters.
COVID on the rise again, so remember that the vaccines are more effective for preventing cases and/or keeping cases mild than having COVID previously. Up to 1/6 of hospitals are critically understaffed (2/3 if you're Vermont, yikes) and another 1/4 experiencing shortages thanks to all of the doctors and nurses quitting from the stress from treating previous infections. It's free, basically harmless, and takes all of 3 seconds.
Stay well everyone!